India Braces for Above-Normal May Rainfall, IMD Warns of Storms
India Braces for Above-Normal May Rainfall, IMD Warns of Storms
Digital Desk: India is poised for an exceptionally wet onset of the pre-monsoon season, with the India Meteorological Department (IMD) predicting above-normal rainfall throughout May 2026. The forecast indicates that rainfall is expected to exceed 110% of the long period average, which, based on historical data from 1971 to 2020, stands at 64.1 mm for both North India and the nation as a whole. This anticipated precipitation is expected to alleviate rising temperatures and mitigate early-season heatwave conditions nationwide.
However, the IMD cautions that rainfall distribution will be uneven. While the majority of India is projected to receive normal to abundant rainfall, certain regions, particularly in the east and northeast, as well as parts of east-central India, may face below-normal precipitation. This discrepancy could complicate agricultural planning, especially for crops that require timely early-season rainfall.
In the immediate term, the IMD has alerted about significant weather events in various regions. Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim, along with parts of northeastern India, are predicted to experience widespread rainfall accompanied by thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds reaching 40-60 km/h until May 5. Heavy to very heavy downpours are anticipated in these areas, which could lead to localized flooding and disruptions.
Similar weather conditions are expected in other regions across the country. The Western Himalayan area, the plains of northwest India, and adjacent central regions may face isolated thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds from May 3 to May 6. Additionally, eastern India and coastal states on the east coast should also be prepared for storm activity during the same timeframe.
Meteorologists note that such weather patterns are characteristic of the transition period from spring into the southwest monsoon, although this year's rainfall intensity and scale in May could surpass typical conditions.
